← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Feb 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Braunschweig win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Holstein Kiel +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Holstein Kiel |
| 22' | ⚽ | Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson · Holstein Kiel |
| 23' | 🟨 | Jasmin Fejzić · Braunschweig |
| 31' | 🟨 | Marvin Schulz · Holstein Kiel |
| 48' | ⚽ | Timo Becker · Holstein Kiel |
| 57' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 57' | ⚽ | Maurice Multhaup · Braunschweig |
| 69' | ⚽ | Danilo Wiebe · Braunschweig |
| 75' | 🟨 | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 626.00 | 504.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1410.05 | 1499.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.77 | -16.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | 0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| league points | 21.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 18.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.54 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 26.39 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.10 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |