← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Feb 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Jablonski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 25% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Hendrick Zuck · Kaiserslautern |
| 75' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 78' | ⚽ | Jannis Heuer · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Robin Bormuth · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 596.00 | 292.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1551.88 | 1538.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.75 | 37.71 |
| eye test v1 | 1.13 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.71 | -0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.77 |
| league points | 35.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 36.80 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -1.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 28.81 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -1.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |