← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Feb 11, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Hannover win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 4' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 6' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 21' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Florent Muslija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Enzo Leopold · Hannover |
| 41' | 🟨 | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 55' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 65' | 🟨 | Florent Muslija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Marvin Pieringer · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 71' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| Sirlord Conteh · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Maximilian Rohr · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 83' | ⚽ | Maximilian Beier · Hannover |
| 87' | 🟨 | Monju Momuluh · Hannover |
| coach days | 225.00 | 590.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1479.17 | 1541.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.46 | -23.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| league points | 28.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.39 | 24.89 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |