← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Feb 10, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Greuther Furth win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Greuther Furth +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Stephan Kofi Ambrosius · Karlsruhe |
| 21' | ⚽ (og) | Tim Breithaupt · Greuther Furth |
| 24' | 🟨 | Stephan Kofi Ambrosius · Karlsruhe |
| 24' | 🟥 | Stephan Kofi Ambrosius · Karlsruhe |
| 33' | 🟨 | Tobias Raschl · Greuther Furth |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 70' | 🟨 | Damian Michalski · Greuther Furth |
| 73' | ⚽ | Mikkel Kaufmann · Karlsruhe |
| 87' | 🟨 | Malik Batmaz · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1105.00 | 224.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1419.34 | 1493.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.83 | 26.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 19.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.41 | 26.14 |
| state index | -1.19 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |