← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Feb 10, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Bielefeld −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Frederic Ananou · Hansa Rostock |
| 51' | ⚽ | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 73' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · Hansa Rostock |
| 74' | 🟨 | Oliver Hüsing · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anderson-Lenda Lucoqui · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 10 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 193.00 | 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1514.75 | 1407.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.53 | -17.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| league points | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.11 | 28.09 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |