← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Feb 5, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Welz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 24% | 4.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Hansa Rostock +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Moritz Heyer · Hamburger SV |
| 28' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 36' | 🟨 | Kevin Schumacher · Hansa Rostock |
| 40' | ⚽ | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 45' | 🟨 | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV |
| 80' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 80' | 🟥 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jean-Luc Dompé · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | ⚽ | András Németh · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 96.00 | 584.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1416.45 | 1623.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.09 | 14.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| league points | 21.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 27.73 | 26.29 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |