← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Feb 5, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Magdeburg win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Magdeburg +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Sebastian Jung · Karlsruhe |
| 78' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 84' | 🟨 | Sebastian Jung · Karlsruhe |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jason Ceka · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daniel Elfadli · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 734.00 | 1100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 3.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1384.11 | 1418.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.23 | -45.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| league points | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.17 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 27.77 |
| state index | -0.48 | -1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |