← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Feb 4, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Nurnberg win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Florian Hübner · Nurnberg |
| 23' | 🟨 | Lino Tempelmann · Nurnberg |
| 38' | 🟨 | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.38 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 218.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1486.98 | 1433.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.77 | -8.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| league points | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.31 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.06 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 25.76 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |