← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Feb 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 33% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 30' | ⚽ | Finn Porath · Holstein Kiel |
| 38' | 🟨 | Julian Niehues · Kaiserslautern |
| 38' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jean Zimmer · Kaiserslautern |
| 66' | 🟨 | Timo Becker · Holstein Kiel |
| 71' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 76' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jann-Fiete Arp · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 279.00 | 491.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1540.29 | 1522.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.28 | 14.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 32.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.03 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.90 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |