← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Feb 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Bielefeld win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Bielefeld +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Jan Elvedi · Regensburg |
| 14' | ⚽ | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Bielefeld |
| 22' | 🟨 | Ivan Lepinjica · Bielefeld |
| 44' | 🟨 | Robin Hack · Bielefeld |
| 72' | 🟨 | Guilherme Ramos · Bielefeld |
| 83' | 🟨 | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
| 85' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 87' | 🟨 | Maximilian Thalhammer · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 2044.00 | 187.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1402.98 | 1501.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.88 | -7.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.57 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.72 |
| league points | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.32 | 25.99 |
| state index | -0.98 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |