← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Feb 3, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 40% | 2.48 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Kristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 37' | ⚽ | Marvin Pieringer · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 62' | ⚽ | Jannis Heuer · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Florent Muslija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 81' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 12 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 582.00 | 367.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 3.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1527.17 | 1532.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.78 | -5.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 1.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.66 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 8.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 26.21 | 26.34 |
| state index | -0.51 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |