← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Jan 29, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 67% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.21 |
| Braunschweig win | 14% | 7.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −1.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Braunschweig −1.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under | 36% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 17' | ⚽ | Moritz Heyer · Hamburger SV |
| 30' | ⚽ | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 49' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 50' | 🟨 | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 81' | ⚽ | Danilo Wiebe · Braunschweig |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 577.00 | 607.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1618.15 | 1398.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.34 | -15.06 |
| eye test v1 | 1.36 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.30 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 34.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.30 | -1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.15 | 28.20 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |