← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Jan 29, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Nurnberg win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Nurnberg +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Manolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 33' | ⚽ | Jakov Medić · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jermain Nischalke · Nurnberg |
| 86' | 🟨 | Nikola Vasilj · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 120.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1443.98 | 1484.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.70 | -18.62 |
| eye test v1 | -1.15 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.64 |
| league points | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | 0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 25.68 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |