← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Jan 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 28% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Hannover −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.79 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Derrick Köhn · Hannover |
| 37' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 49' | ⚽ | Julian Niehues · Kaiserslautern |
| 66' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 75' | 🟨 | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andreas Luthe · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julian Niehues · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | ⚽ | Philipp Hercher · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 211.00 | 272.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1508.37 | 1523.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.73 | 46.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| league points | 28.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.41 | 29.15 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | -1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |