← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Jan 28, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 36% | 2.76 |
| Greuther Furth win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Holstein Kiel +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
| 46' | ⚽ | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 66' | 🟨 | Timo Becker · Holstein Kiel |
| 84' | ⚽ | Simon Lorenz · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Max Christiansen · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 484.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1514.58 | 1494.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.99 | 27.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| league points | 25.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.67 | 25.53 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |