← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Jan 28, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.21 |
| Regensburg win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Darmstadt −1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 18' | ⚽ | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 21' | 🟥 | Scott Kennedy · Regensburg |
| 29' | ⚽ | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 63' | 🟨 | Joshua Mees · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 576.00 | 2037.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.28 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1613.52 | 1408.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.26 | -26.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| league points | 36.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.38 | 27.37 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |