← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Jan 27, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.04 |
| Magdeburg win | 20% | 4.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Magdeburg −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| ⚽ |
| Shinta Karl Appelkamp · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 89' | 🟨 | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 360.00 | 725.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.49 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1528.14 | 1388.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.62 | 18.79 |
| eye test v1 | 1.24 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| league points | 26.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.86 | 25.89 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |