← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Nov 13, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hempel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Magdeburg win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Magdeburg +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Jomaine Consbruch · Bielefeld |
| 33' | 🟨 | Marc Rzatkowski · Bielefeld |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jomaine Consbruch · Bielefeld |
| 59' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Magdeburg |
| 65' | ⚽ | Christian Gebauer · Bielefeld |
| 72' | ⚽ | Robin Hack · Bielefeld |
| 73' | ⚽ | Tatsuya Ito · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 104.00 | 650.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1507.28 | 1397.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.91 | 9.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 4.79 | 2.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.07 | 25.91 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |