← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Nov 13, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
| Greuther Furth win | 27% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Emir Karić · Darmstadt |
| 33' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 42' | ⚽ | Damian Michalski · Greuther Furth |
| 44' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 48' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 48' | 🟥 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 54' | 🟨 | Oussama Haddadi · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 500.00 | 135.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1618.47 | 1489.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.59 | 19.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| league points | 35.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 2.71 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 2.19 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 25.78 |
| state index | 0.70 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |