← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Nov 12, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Regensburg win | 21% | 4.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Heidenheim −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Tim Siersleben · Heidenheim |
| 13' | ⚽ | Prince-Osei Owusu · Regensburg |
| 21' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 36' | ⚽ | Adrian Beck · Heidenheim |
| 39' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 45' | ⚽ | Charalambos Makridis · Regensburg |
| 48' | 🟨 | Blendi Idrizi · Regensburg |
| 54' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 55' | ⚽ | Nicklas Shipnoski · Regensburg |
| 76' | ⚽ | Denis Thomalla · Heidenheim |
| 81' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aygün Yıldırım · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Aygün Yıldırım · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Stefan Schimmer · Heidenheim |
| coach days | 5551.00 | 1960.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1559.13 | 1413.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.38 | 3.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.62 |
| league points | 30.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 2.77 | 2.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.07 | 27.36 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |