← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Nov 11, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
| Hannover win | 24% | 4.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Hannover −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | — · Hannover |
| 9' | ⚽ | Fin Bartels · Holstein Kiel |
| 16' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 34' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 35' | 🟨 | Marvin Schulz · Holstein Kiel |
| 61' | 🟨 | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 69' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 76' | 🟨 | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
| 78' | 🟨 | Enzo Leopold · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simon Lorenz · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 406.00 | 133.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.56 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1516.57 | 1506.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.67 | 31.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.85 |
| league points | 24.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.19 | 26.58 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |