← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Thu, Nov 10, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: W. Haslberger
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Magdeburg win | 28% | 3.43 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Magdeburg +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 50' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 54' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 54' | 🟥 | Cristiano Piccini · Magdeburg |
| 78' | ⚽ | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 85' | 🟨 | Alexander Bittroff · Magdeburg |
| 87' | 🟨 | Oscar Vilhelmsson · Darmstadt |
| 89' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andreas Müller · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 647.00 | 497.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 4.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1403.06 | 1612.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.72 | 14.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 17.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 4.29 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 2.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.11 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.62 | 26.76 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |