← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Wed, Nov 9, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Greuther Furth win | 30% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.71 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Max Christiansen · Greuther Furth |
| 47' | 🟨 | Jean-Luc Dompé · Hamburger SV |
| 49' | 🟨 | Damian Michalski · Greuther Furth |
| 57' | 🟨 | Sonny Kittel · Hamburger SV |
| 63' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Greuther Furth |
| 63' | 🟨 | László Bénes · Hamburger SV |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Hamburger SV |
| 87' | 🟥 | Timothy Tillman · Greuther Furth |
| 87' | 🟨 | Daniel Heuer Fernandes · Hamburger SV |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 🟨 |
| Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Xavier Amaechi · Hamburger SV |
| 0.80 |
| coach days | 131.00 | 496.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1477.30 | 1624.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.83 | -29.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 1.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| league points | 16.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 8.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 25.72 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |