← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Wed, Nov 9, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Regensburg win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0 | 51% | 1.96 |
| Regensburg +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Charalambos Makridis · Regensburg |
| 15' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Braunschweig |
| 19' | 🟨 | Danilo Wiebe · Braunschweig |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1957.00 | 526.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1414.91 | 1408.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.19 | 23.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 36.00 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -1.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |