← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Tue, Nov 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Schröder
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Karlsruhe win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 40' | 🟨 | Kyoung-Rok Choi · Karlsruhe |
| 49' | 🟨 | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 74' | 🟨 | Tim Breithaupt · Karlsruhe |
| 86' | ⚽ | Kenny Prince Redondo · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days | 191.00 | 1011.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 3.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1500.94 | 1437.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.80 | -37.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.94 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| league points | 23.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 3.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.00 | 27.19 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |