← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Tue, Nov 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 62% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.55 |
| Bielefeld win | 17% | 6.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Bielefeld −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟥 | Jannik Huth · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 22' | 🟨 | Lukas Klünter · Bielefeld |
| 28' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Bielefeld |
| 36' | 🟨 | Florent Muslija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 40' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Bielefeld |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Bielefeld |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marvin Pieringer · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 55' | 🟨 | Bastian Oczipka · Bielefeld |
| 70' | 🟨 | Lukas Klünter · Bielefeld |
| 70' | 🟥 | Lukas Klünter · Bielefeld |
| 80' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 82' | 🟨 | Martin Fraisl · Bielefeld |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 495.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1549.13 | 1487.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.51 | -35.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.82 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 26.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.23 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.32 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.79 | 27.51 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |