← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Nov 6, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Magdeburg win | 27% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Mats Møller Dæhli · Nurnberg |
| 36' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Magdeburg |
| 40' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 49' | 🟨 | Daniel Elfadli · Magdeburg |
| 58' | ⚽ | Cristiano Piccini · Magdeburg |
| 64' | ⚽ (og) | Dominik Reimann · Nurnberg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Christopher Schindler · Nurnberg |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Cristiano Piccini · Magdeburg |
| 82' | 🟨 | Connor Krempicki · Magdeburg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Fabian Nürnberger · Nurnberg |
| 84' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 21 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.35 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 36.00 | 643.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1444.96 | 1389.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.48 | 4.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| league points | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 8.06 | 8.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 26.25 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | 1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |