← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Nov 5, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ (og) | Tim Breithaupt · Holstein Kiel |
| 30' | ⚽ | Kwasi Okyere Wriedt · Holstein Kiel |
| 67' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Holstein Kiel |
| 72' | ⚽ | Simone Rapp · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kwasi Okyere Wriedt · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1008.00 | 400.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.54 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1456.17 | 1497.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.58 | 15.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | — |
| league points | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.48 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.77 | 27.08 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |