← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Nov 5, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Heidenheim win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Heidenheim +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Lennard Maloney · Heidenheim |
| 35' | ⚽ | Jan-Niklas Beste · Heidenheim |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marcel Hoffmeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 76' | ⚽ | Denis Thomalla · Heidenheim |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jan-Niklas Beste · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5544.00 | 492.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1534.55 | 1565.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.18 | -1.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.78 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 24.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 63.20 |
| rest days | 7.81 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | 1.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 26.37 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.31 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |