← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Nov 5, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 40% | 2.44 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 58' | 🟥 | Betim Fazliji · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 59' | 🟨 | Christoph Klarer · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 66' | 🟨 | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 75' | 🟨 | Connor Metcalfe · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 277.00 | 857.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1549.11 | 1492.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.21 | -0.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 23.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 6.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 25.99 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |