← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Nov 4, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
| Hannover win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Darmstadt −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟥 | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
| 39' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 62' | ⚽ | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 81' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 491.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.54 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1607.07 | 1496.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.16 | 7.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.85 |
| league points | 29.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.47 | 26.30 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |