← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Oct 29, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Dankert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Darmstadt win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Darmstadt +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 48' | 🟨 | Betim Fazliji · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 60' | ⚽ | Frank Ronstadt · Darmstadt |
| 65' | 🟨 | Manolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 67' | 🟨 | Afeez Aremu · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 69' | ⚽ | Lukas Daschner · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 850.00 | 485.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 3.61 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1490.73 | 1608.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.90 | 29.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.73 |
| league points | 14.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 2.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 27.35 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |