← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Oct 29, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Kai Pröger · Hansa Rostock |
| 26' | ⚽ | Kai Pröger · Hansa Rostock |
| 48' | 🟨 | Lasse Günther · Regensburg |
| 57' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 63' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · Hansa Rostock |
| 64' | ⚽ (og) | Jan Elvedi · Hansa Rostock |
| 76' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 82' | 🟨 | Konrad Faber · Regensburg |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Regensburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1946.00 | 1397.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1442.86 | 1402.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.93 | -10.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.30 | -1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.89 | 27.34 |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | -1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |