← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Oct 28, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Magdeburg win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg +0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Heidenheim +0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Denis Thomalla · Heidenheim |
| 63' | 🟨 | Silas Gnaka · Magdeburg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Magdeburg |
| 87' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tatsuya Ito · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 634.00 | 5536.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1387.34 | 1537.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.51 | -0.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 13.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.00 | 26.85 |
| state index | -0.51 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |