← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Oct 28, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Brych
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Bielefeld win | 25% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Oussama Haddadi · Greuther Furth |
| 27' | 🟨 | Tobias Raschl · Greuther Furth |
| 30' | ⚽ | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 38' | 🟨 | Marc Rzatkowski · Bielefeld |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 119.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1457.20 | 1508.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.31 | -18.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| league points | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.26 | 27.59 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |