← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Oct 23, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 44% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Greuther Furth win | 28% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
| 33' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 52' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 55' | 🟨 | Tobias Raschl · Greuther Furth |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Jan-Niklas Beste · Heidenheim |
| 82' | 🟨 | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 83' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5531.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1527.06 | 1467.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.25 | -5.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| league points | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 25.62 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |