← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Oct 23, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 |
| Magdeburg win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hamburger SV −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under | 34% | 2.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 18' | 🟨 | Mario Vušković · Hamburger SV |
| 38' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Magdeburg |
| 51' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 58' | ⚽ | Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV |
| 88' | ⚽ | Julian Rieckmann · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jan Luca Schuler · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tom Sanne · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.40 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 479.00 | 629.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1625.49 | 1370.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.50 | -15.96 |
| eye test v1 | 1.18 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| league points | 25.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 66.00 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.08 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.26 | 1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.54 | 26.15 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.90 | 1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |