← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Oct 22, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Bielefeld win | 30% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld +0.25 | 50% | 2.02 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0.25 | 50% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.77 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Ivan Lepinjica · Bielefeld |
| 76' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Bielefeld |
| 84' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Bielefeld |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eric Smith · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 82.00 | 843.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1496.25 | 1503.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.73 | -9.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| league points | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.99 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 25.59 |
| state index | -0.72 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |