← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Oct 22, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 |
| Braunschweig win | 24% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Braunschweig +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under | 38% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Michael Schultz · Braunschweig |
| 29' | 🟨 | Felix Platte · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 60' | 🟨 | Florent Muslija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 5 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 508.00 | 478.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1413.58 | 1578.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 49.26 | 8.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.61 | -0.87 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.90 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 15.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 64.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.83 | 1.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 7.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.00 | 25.77 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.70 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |