← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Oct 21, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 22% | 4.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.75 | 53% | 1.91 |
| Darmstadt −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 49' | 🟨 | Finn Porath · Holstein Kiel |
| 55' | 🟨 | Emir Karić · Darmstadt |
| 67' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 71' | 🟨 | Christoph Zimmermann · Darmstadt |
| 72' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kirkeskov · Holstein Kiel |
| 72' | ⚽ | Matthias Bader · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 477.00 | 385.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1613.26 | 1503.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.61 | 2.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 19.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 27.67 | 28.06 |
| state index | 0.68 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |