← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Oct 15, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| Bielefeld win | 25% | 3.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.5 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Hannover −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 9' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 40' | 🟨 | Ivan Lepinjica · Bielefeld |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 48' | 🟨 | Masaya Okugawa · Bielefeld |
| 86' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jomaine Consbruch · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 106.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1474.69 | 1510.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.65 | -24.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.62 |
| league points | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.07 | 25.39 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |