← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Oct 15, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Karlsruhe win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Alexander Brunst · Darmstadt |
| 19' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 43' | 🟨 | Paul Nebel · Karlsruhe |
| 49' | ⚽ | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 53' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marcel Schuhen · Darmstadt |
| 86' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 88' | ⚽ | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 987.00 | 471.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1487.87 | 1604.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.43 | 22.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.70 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 65.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| league points | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 2.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.49 | 27.21 |
| state index | 0.23 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |