← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Oct 15, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Braunschweig win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Immanuel Pherai · Braunschweig |
| 27' | 🟨 | Herbert Bockhorn · Magdeburg |
| 51' | ⚽ (og) | Amara Condé · Braunschweig |
| 59' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 67' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 81' | 🟨 | Anthony Ujah · Braunschweig |
| 86' | 🟨 | Bryan Henning · Braunschweig |
| 90' | ⚽ | Bryan Henning · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 621.00 | 501.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1387.32 | 1396.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.85 | 49.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| league points | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.00 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.31 | -1.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 28.32 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.21 | -1.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |