← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Oct 14, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 43% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 23' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · Hansa Rostock |
| 29' | 🟨 | Kai Pröger · Hansa Rostock |
| 45' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ryan Malone · Hansa Rostock |
| 57' | ⚽ | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 60' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Greuther Furth |
| 62' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 62' | 🟥 | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 66' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| Ryan Malone · Hansa Rostock |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 105.00 | 1382.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1470.45 | 1414.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.40 | -18.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| league points | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | -1.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 26.86 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | -1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |