← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Oct 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Magdeburg win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Magdeburg +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Amara Condé · Magdeburg |
| 50' | 🟨 | Bashkim Ajdini · SV Sandhausen |
| 74' | ⚽ | Christian Kinsombi · SV Sandhausen |
| 75' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matondo-Merveille Papela · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Janik Bachmann · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| coach days | 403.00 | 615.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1440.96 | 1394.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.14 | 8.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 71.00 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.94 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.06 | 25.99 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | 1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |