← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Oct 8, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Darmstadt |
| 64' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Iyoha · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 72' | ⚽ | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 78' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marcel Sobottka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 88' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emir Karić · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcel Mansfeld · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| Christoph Klarer · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 464.00 | 249.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1598.05 | 1543.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.07 | 16.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 25.49 |
| state index | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |