← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Oct 7, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Bielefeld win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Bielefeld +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 52' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Bielefeld |
| 54' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 67.00 | 979.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1523.21 | 1474.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.53 | 9.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.72 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.87 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.95 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.63 | 27.52 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |