← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Oct 2, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 |
| Regensburg win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Regensburg −0.75 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 53' | 🟨 | Prince-Osei Owusu · Regensburg |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Magdeburg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Maximilian Thalhammer · Regensburg |
| 78' | 🟨 | Christian Viet · Regensburg |
| 82' | 🟨 | Daniel Elfadli · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 6 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 608.00 | 1919.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1385.10 | 1418.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.34 | -25.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| league points | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 15.02 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.35 | 26.11 |
| state index | -0.79 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |