← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Oct 1, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 48% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.78 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Reese · Holstein Kiel |
| 30' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 52' | 🟨 | Dennis Dressel · Hansa Rostock |
| 64' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kirkeskov · Holstein Kiel |
| 72' | 🟨 | Rick Van Drongelen · Hansa Rostock |
| 76' | 🟨 | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 88' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 365.00 | 1369.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1481.56 | 1425.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.02 | -1.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| league points | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | -1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.17 | 28.54 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |