β 2. Bundesliga 2022 Β· Sat, Oct 1, 11:00 AM UTC Β· ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth β0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| SV Sandhausen β0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | β½ | Alexander Esswein Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 33' | π¨ | Alexander Esswein Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 48' | β½ | Julian Green Β· Greuther Furth |
| 61' | π¨ | Tom Trybull Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 68' | π¨ | Simon Asta Β· Greuther Furth |
| 84' | π¨ | Cebio Soukou Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | π¨ | Tom Trybull Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | π¨ | Arne Sicker Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | π₯ | Tom Trybull Β· SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 92.00 | 395.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1473.14 | 1438.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.76 | -26.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 70.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.75 |
| league points | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 12.98 | 14.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | -0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.79 | 27.20 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |